Bootstrap-calibrated estimation for progressively censored competing risks data under the Gompertz-Lindley model

Authors

  • Muhammad Anas Khan University of Hertfordshire, United Kingdom

Keywords:

Progressive Type-II censoring; competing risks modeling; Gompertz-Lindley lifetime model; bootstrap bias correction; BCa confidence intervals; statistical survival analysis

Abstract

This paper develops a Bootstrap-Calibrated Hybrid Estimator (BCHE) for the parameters of the Gompertz-Lindley distribution (GLD) under progressive Type-II censoring in the presence of competing risks. The proposed approach combines maximum likelihood estimation via Newton-Raphson iteration with a parametric bootstrap calibration loop to correct finite-sample bias in all three model parameters simultaneously. Bias-corrected and accelerated (BCa) bootstrap confidence intervals are constructed and compared against the standard Wald-type asymptotic confidence intervals obtained from the observed Fisher information matrix. A comprehensive Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted using the heart disease dataset parameters from the literature, covering four sample-size configurations and three progressive censoring schemes. Simulation results confirm that the BCHE substantially reduces relative absolute bias and mean squared error for the GLD shape parameter, where classical maximum likelihood estimation is known to perform poorly under moderate to heavy censoring. Bootstrap BCa intervals achieve empirical coverage closer to the nominal 95% level with shorter average lengths compared to Wald-type intervals. A real data application to heart disease patient records with two competing failure causes—myocardial infarction and death from other causes—further illustrates the practical utility of the proposed methodology and demonstrates the suitability of the GLD for competing risks lifetime data.

References

[1] O. E. Abo-Kasem, Ehab M. Almetwally, and Wael S. Abu El Azm, Reliability analysis of two Gompertz populations under joint progressive type-ii censoring scheme based on binomial removal, Internat. J. Model. Simulat. 44 (2024), no. 5, 290–310, https://doi.org/10.1080/02286203.2023.2169570.

[2] Shafya Alhidairah, Farouq Mohammad A. A. Alam, and Mazen Nassar, Failure cause analysis under progressive type-II censoring using generalized linear exponential competing risks model with medical and industrial applications, Axioms 14 (2025), no. 8, 595, https://doi.org/10.3390/AXIOMS14080595.

[3] Refah Alotaibi, Ehab M. Almetwally, Devendra Kumar, and Hoda Rezk, Optimal test plan of step-stress model of alpha power Weibull lifetimes under progressively type-II censored samples, Symmetry 14 (2022), no. 9, https://doi.org/10.3390/SYM14091801.

[4] K. K. Anakha and V. M. Chacko, On comparative lifetime analysis with the generalized Lindley distribution: insights from joint adaptive progressive type-II censoring, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 95 (2025), no. 11, 2466–2493, https://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2025.2496397.

[5] Samadrita Bera and Nabakumar Jana, Estimating reliability parameters for inverse Gaussian distributions under complete and progressively type-II censored samples, Qual. Technol. Quant. Mgt. 20 (2023), no. 3, 334–359, https://doi.org/10.1080/16843703.2022.2109871.

[6] Mathew Chandy, Elizabeth D. Schifano, Jun Yan, and Xianyang Zhang, Nonparametric block bootstrap KolmogorovSmirnov goodness-of-fit test, Amer. Statist. (2025), 1–8, https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2025.2588131.

[7] Xiaowen Dai, Shidan Huang, Libin Jin, and Maozai Tian, Wild bootstrap-based bias correction for spatial quantile panel data models with varying coefficients, Mathematics 11 (2023), no. 9, https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH11092005.

[8] Sanku Dey, Liang Wang, and Mazen Nassar, Inference on Nadarajah–Haghighi distribution with constant stress partially accelerated life tests under progressive type-II censoring, J. Appl. Stat. 49 (2022), no. 11, 2891–2912, https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1928014.

[9] Sara Dhaene and Yves Rosseel, Resampling based bias correction for small sample SEM, Struct. Equ. Model. 29 (2022), no. 5, 755–771, https://doi.org/10.1080/10705511.2022.2057999.

[10] Rashad M. EL-Sagheer, Mahmoud El-Morshedy, Laila A. Al-Essa, Khaled M. Alqahtani, and Mohamed S. Eliwa, The process capability index of Pareto model under progressive type-II censoring: Various Bayesian and bootstrap algorithms for asymmetric data, Symmetry 15 (2023), no. 4, https://doi.org/10.3390/SYM15040879.

[11] El Sayed A. El-Sherpieny, Ehab M. Almetwally, and Hiba Z. Muhammed, Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation for the parameter of bivariate generalized Rayleigh distribution based on clayton copula under progressive type-II censoring with random removal, Sankhya A 85 (2023), no. 2, 1205–1242, https://doi.org/10.1007/S13171-021-00254-3.

[12] Tamer Elbayoumi and Sayed Mostafa, Impact of bias correction of the least squares estimation on bootstrap confidence intervals for bifurcating autoregressive models, J. Data Sci. 22 (2024), no. 1, 25–44, https://doi.org/10.6339/23JDS1092.

[13] Tamer Elbayoumi, Mutiyat Usman, Sayed Mostafa, Mohammad Zayed, and Ahmad Aboalkhair, Bootstrap methods for correcting bias in WLS estimators of the first-order bifurcating autoregressive model, Stats 8 (2025), no. 3, https://doi.org/10.3390/STATS8030079.

[14] Dalia Ghanem, A James-Stein-type adjustment to bias correction in fixed effects panel models, Econometric Rev. 41 (2022), no. 6, 633–651, https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2021.1996994.

[15] Jinyong Hahn, David W. Hughes, Guido Kuersteiner, and Whitney K. Newey, Efficient bias correction for crosssection and panel data, Quant. Econ. 15 (2024), no. 3, 783–816, https://doi.org/10.3982/QE2350.

[16] Nooshin Hakamipour, Stress–strength reliability estimation of s-out-of-k multicomponent systems based on copula function for dependent strength elements under progressively censored sample, Internat. J. Gen. Syst. 54 (2025), no. 4, 440–462, https://doi.org/10.1080/03081079.2024.2405687.

[17] Amal S. Hassan, Rana M. Mousa, and Mahmoud H. Abu-Moussa, Analysis of progressive type-II competing risks data, with applications, Lobachevskii J. Math. 43 (2022), no. 9, 2479–2492, https://doi.org/10.1134/S1995080222120149.

[18] Nabakumar Jana and Samadrita Bera, Estimation of multicomponent system reliability for inverse Weibull distribution using survival signature, Statist. Papers 65 (2024), no. 8, 5077–5108, https://doi.org/10.1007/S00362-02401588-4.

[19] Young Eun Jeon, Suk Bok Kang, and Jung In Seo, Pivotal-based inference for a Pareto distribution under the adaptive progressive type-II censoring scheme, AIMS Math. 9 (2024), no. 3, 6041–6059, https://doi.org/10.3934/MATH.2024295.

[20] Anita Kumari, Kapil Kumar, and Indrajeet Kumar, Bayesian and classical inference in Maxwell distribution under adaptive progressively type-II censored data, Internat. J. System Assurance Engrg. Mgt. 15 (2024), no. 3, 1015–1036, https://doi.org/10.1007/S13198-023-02185-8.

[21] Artur J. Lemonte, A note on bias correction for the standard two-sided power distribution, Adv. Theory Simul. 7 (2024), no. 1, https://doi.org/10.1002/ADTS.202300541.

[22] Xiaofeng Steven Liu, Bias correction for Cohen’s d, J. Gen. Psychol. 151 (2023), no. 1, 54–62, https://doi.org/10.1080/00221309.2023.2172545.

[23] Hiba Z. Muhammed and Ehab M. Almetwally, Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation for the shape parameters of new versions of bivariate inverse Weibull distribution based on progressive type-II censoring, Comput. J. Math. Stat. Sci. 3 (2024), no. 1, 85–111, https://doi.org/10.21608/CJMSS.2023.250678.1028.

[24] K. Muralidharan and Pratima Bavagosai, Instantaneous failure analysis on Lindley distribution under progressive type II censoring, Internat. J. System Assurance Engrg. Mgt. 14 (2023), no. 4, 1312–1339, https://doi.org/10.1007/S13198-023-01936-X.

[25] Hossein Nadeb, Javad Estabraqi, Hamzeh Torabi, Yichuan Zhao, and Saeede Bafekri, Statistical inference for the partial area under ROC curve for the lower truncated proportional hazard rate models based on progressive type-II

censoring, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 94 (2024), no. 5, 965–995, https://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2023.2277335.

[26] Yingzi Niu, Liang Wang, Yogesh Mani Tripathi, and Jia Liu, Inference for partially accelerated life test from a bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution with progressive censoring, Axioms 12 (2023), no. 5, https://doi.org/10.3390/AXIOMS12050417.

[27] Yinuo Qiao and Wenhao Gui, Statistical inference of weighted exponential distribution under joint progressive type-II censoring, Symmetry 14 (2022), no. 10, https://doi.org/10.3390/SYM14102031.

[28] Qasim Ramzan, Muhammad Amin, Tmader Alballa, Najla M. Aloraini, and Hamiden Abd El Wahed Khalifa, Algorithms and approximations for the modified Weibull model under censoring with application to the lifetimes of electrical appliances, Sci. Rep. 16 (2026), no. 1, https://doi.org/10.1038/S41598-025-30943-0.

[29] Vahid Ranjbar, Statistical inference for x-gamma distribution under progressive type II censoring, Sao Paulo J. Math. Sci. 18 (2024), no. 2, 1915–1943, https://doi.org/10.1007/S40863-024-00428-5.

[30] Weihua Shi and Wenhao Gui, Estimation for two Gompertz populations under a balanced joint progressive type-II censoring scheme, J. Appl. Stat. 51 (2024), no. 8, 1470–1496, https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2023.2207787.

[31] Kundan Singh, Chandrakant Lodhi, Yogesh Mani Tripathi, and Liang Wang, Inference under balanced joint progressive type-II censoring scheme, J. Appl. Stat. (2025), https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2025.2537130.

[32] Tristan D. Tibbe and Amanda K. Montoya, Correcting the bias correction for the bootstrap confidence interval in mediation analysis, Front. Psychol. 13 (2022), https://doi.org/10.3389/FPSYG.2022.810258/PDF.

[33] Tzong Ru Tsai, Yuhlong Lio, Ya Yen Fan, and Che Pin Cheng, Bias correction method for log-power-normal distribution, Mathematics 10 (2022), no. 6, https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH10060955.

[34] Christopher Walsh and Carsten Jentsch, Nearest neighbor matching: M-out-of-N bootstrapping without bias correction vs. the naive bootstrap, Econometrics Statist. 36 (2025), https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ECOSTA.2023.04.005.

[35] Xiaofei Wang, Biwu Zhang, Peihua Jiang, and Yaqun Zhou, Reliability inference and remaining useful life prediction based on the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution under progressive type-II censoring, Mathematics 14 (2026), no. 7, https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH14071109.

[36] Jinchen Xiang, Yuanqi Wang, and Wenhao Gui, Statistical inference of inverse Weibull distribution under joint progressive censoring scheme, Symmetry 17 (2025), no. 6, https://doi.org/10.3390/SYM17060829.

[37] Hua Xin, Yuhlong Lio, Ya Yen Fan, and Tzong Ru Tsai, Bias-correction methods for the unit exponential distribution and applications, Mathematics 12 (2024), no. 12, https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH12121828.

[38] Fatma Çiftci, Buğra Saraçoğlu, Neriman Akdam, and Yunus Akdoğan, Estimation of stress-strength reliability for generalized Gompertz distribution under progressive type-II censoring, Hacettepe J. Math. Stat. 52 (2023), no. 5, 1379–1395, https://doi.org/10.15672/HUJMS.961868.

Downloads

Published

2026-05-08

Issue

Section

Research Articles

How to Cite

Muhammad Anas Khan. (2026). Bootstrap-calibrated estimation for progressively censored competing risks data under the Gompertz-Lindley model. ORA Mathematics, 1(1), e2026006. https://orapublishing.com/oram/article/view/oramath.e2026006

Similar Articles

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.